EM FX debt bonanza is over

Where did all the EM FX bonds go? According to Nomura’s Nordvig and team “the EM FX debt bonanza is over”. Which is nice if you thought it was a measure of building risk… After three years (2012-2014) of very strong net issuance in emerging markets (around $250bn per year), issuance has dropped to much lower levels during 2015. Chinese entities managed to issue around $50bn in debt, mostly in the early part of the year, but net issuance in other emerging markets has essentially ground to a halt. Now, as…

ETF Trends in Q1 2016

3 ETF Trends in Q1 2016 (XLU, VNQ) Three trends in exchange traded funds (ETF) in Q1 2016 are a recovery in rate-sensitive funds, strength in emerging market ETFs and strong flows into precious metal ETFs. Gains in these ETFs are reversals of major trends from the previous year, when low inflation and increases in short-term interest rates combined to put downward pressure on these groups. One major development crucial to the first quarter of 2016 was the Federal Reserve’s shift to a more dovish policy in response to financial market volatility…